Friday, September 30, 2011
Thursday, September 29, 2011
Nifty closes above 5000
Today(29-9-11)Nifty opened at 4915 with a loss of 31 points, moved down to yesterday mentioned figure 4906, after 12:00 steadily moved upwards to 5034 and closed at 5015 with a gain of 69 points. Nifty futures range was 4903 - 5036, having a difference of 133 points. Again the possibility of Nifty moving to 5056 and to top of G2(5123) emerges. Agni level for tomorrow is at 4944.
Wednesday, September 28, 2011
Nifty closes below centre of G2(4960)
Today(28-9-11) Nifty opened at 5006 with a gain of 35 points, swiftly moved below centre of G2 to 4951, moved in the range 4918 - 4965 and closed at 4946 with a loss of 25 points. Yesterday's unanticipated closing above centre of G2 gave an impression that Nifty may again move towards top of G2(5123) or at least to 5056. What was said day before yesterday proved right today. Nifty futures range was almost similar to yesterday, 4906 - 4995 (low same, high just 6 points difference, but in reverse direction) having a difference of 89 points. Being F&O settlement day Nifty may be highly volatile tomorrow and Agni level is at 4832.
Tuesday, September 27, 2011
New Moon Day - Nifty closes with 136 points gain
Today(27-9-11) being a new-Moon day Nifty opened at 4927 with a gain of 92 points and moved upwards steadily to 4983 and closed at 4971 with a gain of 136 points. Though the expectation was up to centre of G2(4960) it surged and closed above that level. Nifty futures range was 4906 - 4989, having a difference of 83 points only. As Nifty closing is above the centre of G2, it may move to top of G2(5123). Agni level for tomorrow is at 4772.
Monday, September 26, 2011
Nifty moves to centre of G1(4759) as anticipated
Today(26-9-11)Nifty opened at 4880 with a gain of 12 points, moved to negative territory immediately and to centre of G1(4759) as anticipated in the 22nd Sept post, moved up to 4867 and closed at 4835 with a loss of 35 points. Nifty futures range was 4756 - 4879, having a difference of 123 points. As tomorrow's Agni level is at 4817 and new Moon day go long until Nifty stays above Agni level. The up move may be limited, may be up to centre of G2(4960). As Moon-Venus conjunction is on Wednesday it is better to exit all longs at the closing time.
Saturday, September 24, 2011
Hurst cycle , Rahu and the sky signals
Last week when Nandi returned home after an evening walk, wife asked him to clear the bundle of papers lying in the corner of the table for a long time. While sorting out the papers, Nandi came across a paper cutting titled "Grahasangamam" (planetary congregation)in popular Malayalam daily "Mathrubumi". The date of the paper was 6th February, 2009 and it reminded the period when Nifty was at minimum and checking on data it was found that Nifty low was at 2539 on 6th March, 2009. The paper cutting high lighted the most beautiful view in the sky on coming together of Mars, Jupiter, Mercury and the Moon in the Eastern sky just before Sun rise during the period up to April. At that time Sun, Mars, Jupiter and Rahu was in Capricorn. Mercury was nearby in Sagittarius.
On checking the planetary positions on coming months it is seen that during the period from 17th November to 20th November 2011 Sun, Venus, Mercury and Rahu will be in Scorpio and Saturn in nearby Libra. On 21st November Venus will be moving to next constellation Sagittarius. New Moon will be on 25th November and Full Moon on 10th December 2011.
These dates coincide with the 80 week cycle in Hurst cycle theory posted by our friend Shri.Princely.K.Mathew (he is from Kottayam and now working in USA)in his blog "theindianmarketblog" (given as 3rd link on the left side). Extract from his post dated Sunday, September 18, 2011 : "The last 18 month nest of lows came in June end. And the last 40 week low came in March mid time frame. And the last 20 week low came on August 9th. Right now we are in the last 20 week cycle within this 80 week cycle and also with the 4.5 and 9 year cycles. Time frame for the projected 9 year nest of lows shows as around the last week of Dec. But it may extend also. Will see as we get closer. As mentioned before, we got the first 2.5 week cycle low last week Monday/Tuesday in this last 10 week cycle before a major low which expected in November mid time frame."
Since Rahu takes 18 years to complete one cycle and stays 566 days in one Rasi, 9 years, 4.5 years 80 weeks are related to it. As Carnatic music has Sruti(frequency) and Laya(time)factors Nandi was searching for time factor in market. As Sun and Moon has no retrograde and Rahu-Ketu moves in reverse direction only the time factor of market may be related to these astro objects since time doth not run backwards. While posting "Ma of PaHiMa" on 28th November 2010 the time frame was not clear. Now, the feeling is that since "Na Ma Shi Va Ya" (the present bull run)started in April 2003 "Pa Hi Ma" may end in first quarter of 2012 on completion of 9 year period(Rahu-Ketu are two ends of an axis and on 9th year Rahu/Ketu reaches where Ketu/Rahu was). The positive aspect is you can invest confidently when sky exhibits its beauty magnificently. The investment made in February/March 2009 might have got high returns during the up move from March 2009 to November 2010. So, wait for the sky signals for investment.
After volatile movements Nifty closes at bottom of G2
On Friday(23-9-11), the day mentioned on 10th Sept, Nifty was highly volatile and closed at the same point mentioned ie. bottom of G2(4859). Nifty opening was also at the same level and the day's range was 4830 - 4930 (see table for details) where as Nifty futures range was 4819 (11 points discount) - 4935 (5 points premium), having a difference of 116 points. As Nifty closing is at the boarder of G1 & G2, next week it can move either way and high volatility can be expected due to new-Moon on 27th (+), Moon-Venus conjunction on 28th(-) and F&O settlement on 29th. Risk averse traders may keep away from trading during the coming week .Agni level for Monday is at 4961.
Thursday, September 22, 2011
Nifty closes below centre of G2(4960)
Today(22-9-11)on global cues, Nifty opened at 5040 with a loss of 93 points , moved up to 5060, thereafter steadily moved down to 4908 and closed at 4924 with a loss of 209 points. Nifty futures range was 4898 - 5062, having a difference of 164 points. On 10th September 2011 it was said "Nifty may move to centre of G2(4960) and to bottom of G2(4859). Full Moon on Monday and Moon's conjunction with Mars and Venus on 23rd and 28th respectively may support the down move". On Full Moon day (Monday,12th Sept) Nifty closed at 4947 with a loss of 113 points. But, on subsequent days the loss was recovered and Nifty moved up to 5168. Today, just prior to Moon - Mars conjunction, Nifty lost 209 points and the down move may continue tomorrow also. Nifty may move to bottom of G2(4859) and further down may be to centre of G1(4759). Tomorrow's Agni level is at 5050.
Wednesday, September 21, 2011
Nifty closes flat @ 5133
Tuesday, September 20, 2011
Nifty moves above top of G2
Today(20-9-11)Nifty opened at 5043 with a gain of 11 points, moved up steadily to top of G2(5123)by 14:30 as anticipated in Saturday post, moved further up to 5150 (Surya level was 5155) and closed at 5140 with gain of 108 points. Nifty futures range was 5035 - 5168, having a difference of 133 points. Though Nifty closed in M1(ie. above 5123)day's average is in G2. Tomorrow's Agni level is at 5151.
Monday, September 19, 2011
Nifty closes below Agni levl
Today(19-9-11)Nifty opened at 5068 with a loss of 16 points, moved between 5019 & 5060 and closed at 5032, below Agni level(5037) with a loss of 52 points. Nifty futures range was 5017 - 5063, having a difference of 46 points only. Tomorrow's Agni level is at 5093 and Nifty may move downwards to centre of G2(4960).
Saturday, September 17, 2011
RBI hikes repo rate by 25bps (ie.8.25%)
Sept. 16: The Reserve Bank of India today raised its benchmark interest rate ' the repo ' by 25 basis points to 8.25 per cent and said it wouldn't back down on its tight monetary stance when there was still "an element of suppressed inflation" within the system. Nifty opened exactly at top of G2(5123) with a gain of 47 points, moved in the range 5093 - 5132 up to 11:55, on RBI announcement of Repo rate hike surged to 5144 and tanked to 5068, thereafter moved within the range already set in and closed at 5084 with a gain of 8 points. Nifty futures range was 5071 - 5155, having a difference of 84 points. Nifty may again move to top of G2. Tomorrow's Agni level is at 5037.
Thursday, September 15, 2011
High volatility expected tomorrow.
Today(15-9-11)Nifty opened at 5062 with a gain of 49 points, moved downwards to 4967 (46 points loss), moved upwards to 5091 and closed at 5076 with a gain of 63 points. Nifty futures range was 4957 - 5100, having a difference of 143 points. High volatility expected tomorrow due to petrol price hike of Rs.3.14 per litre effected from midnight today and RBI's credit policy review. Tomorrow's Agni level is at 4942.
Wednesday, September 14, 2011
Nifty closes above Agni level
Today(14-9-11)Nifty opened at 4967 with a gain of 26 points, moved down to 4920, moved up to 4970(Agni level for the day), moved down again to 4917, moved up again to 5026 and closed at 5013 with a gain of 72 points. Nifty futures range was 4908 - 5033, having a difference of 125 points. Last three days' Nifty movement was in the same frame work (compare tables)and Nifty lows were 4911.25, 4911.05 and 4917.40 respectively ie. it didn't enter "NiSaRi" area. As Nifty closing is above Agni level, Nifty may move to top of G2(5123). Tomorrow's Agni level is at 4909.
Tuesday, September 13, 2011
Nifty closes flat after touching yesterday low
Today(13-9-11)Nifty opened at 4997 with a gain of 50 points, moved up to 5030, declined swiftly to 4911 (yesterday low), moved up to 4960 and closed flat at 4941. Nifty futures range was 4904 - 5040, having a difference of 136 points. It seems visiting bottom of G2(4859) may be delayed for a few days. Tomorrow's Agni level is at 4970 and cover shorts when Nifty moves above it.
Monday, September 12, 2011
Full Moon day - Nifty down 148 points
Today(12-9-11)was a full Moon day and Nifty opened at 4967 with a loss of 92 points, moved further down to 4911 ie. 148 points loss(4912 is the next figure after 4960 mentioned in the post dated 25th Aug 2011), moved up to 4965 and closed at 4947 with a loss of 112 points. Nifty futures range was 4901 - 4979, having a difference of 78 points. As mentioned in the last post, Nifty may move further down to bottom of G2(4859)in coming days. Agni level for tomorrow is at 5072.
Saturday, September 10, 2011
Nifty back to G2
On Friday(9-9-11)Nifty opened at 5164 with a gain of 11 points, moved in the range 5108 - 5162 up to 13:00, moved further down to 5047 and closed at 5059 with a loss of 94 points. Nifty futures range was 5155 -> 5043, having a difference of 112 points. As Nifty closing is in G2 ie. below 5123 Nifty may move to centre of G2(4960) and to bottom of G2(4859). Full Moon on Monday and Moon's conjunction with Mars and Venus on 23rd and 28th respectively may support the down move. Tomorrow's Agni level is at 5156.
Thursday, September 8, 2011
Nifty closes in M1
Today(8-9-11)Nifty opened at 5141 with a gain of 16 points, moved in the range 5098 - 5139 till 13:00, moved up to 5169 (today's Agni level was at 5166)and closed at 5153 with a gain of 28 points. Nifty futures range was 5088 - 5174, having a difference of 86 points. If Nifty remains in M1 ie. above 5123 next week also then it may move to centre of M1(5286). Tomorrow's Agni level is at 5177.
Wish You a Happy & Prosperous Onam
Onam is being celebrated by not only Malayalees world over, but also their well wishers. Onam is an astronomical event that repeats once in every year when Moon transits to "Thiruvonam" star(280 - 293°)in Capricornus Rasi(constellation)while the Sun is in Leo(120 - 150°). Thus Onam nights ensures Moon light which everybody loves. Onam nights at beaches where a large stretch of white sand is there - banks of Bharathappuzha near Shornur or Muzhuppilangadu beach in Kannur - are spots of beauty. During this day it is believed that Mahabhali, the King of bye gone era visits Kerala to spread happiness and prosperity. Let happiness and prosperity be with you through out this season.
Wednesday, September 7, 2011
Nifty closes at top of G2(5123)
Today(7-9-11)Nifty opened at 5076 with a gain of 12 points, moved up to 5155 (Agni level and Surya level for the day was 5150 & 5152 respectively) and closed at 5125, top of G2, with a gain of 61 points. Nifty futures range was 5078 - 5149, having a difference of 71 points. Tomorrow's Agni level is at 5166.
Tuesday, September 6, 2011
Nifty closes @ 5064, but below Agni level
Today(6-9-11)till 13:00 Nifty moved in the range 4943 - 5001, after that moved up fast to 5073 and closed at 5064 with a gain of 47 points. Nifty futures range was 4932 - 5072, having a difference of 140 points. It seems that Nifty is trying once more to move to top of G2(5123), after its downward move from that level on Friday. Today and on Friday, Nifty futures high was same @ 5072. As Soma & Surya levels remains almost same it is possible that Nifty may move back to yesterday closing level. Tomorrow's Agni level is at 5150.
Monday, September 5, 2011
Nifty stays above centre of G2
Today(5-9-11)up to 13:00 Nifty moved in the range between centre of G2(4960) and Agni level for the day(4986), after that it moved up to 5030, moved down to 4993, moved up again and closed at 5017 with a loss of 23 points. Nifty futures was in discount and the range was 4954 - 5023, having a difference of 69 points. As tomorrow's Agni level is at 5112 and Nifty is not likely to move to that level tomorrow, avoid longs.
Sunday, September 4, 2011
Nifty moves to top of G2 as expected
On Friday(2-9-11)Nifty moved to top of G2 ie. 5114 as expected in the opening, but as Nifty futures was just 5072(massive 42 points discount) Nifty lost 100 points within 5 minutes and Nifty futures declined to 5007. After touching a low of 4993 Nifty moved up and closed at 5040 with a gain of 39 points. Nifty and Nifty futures range on Friday was 4993 - 5114 and 4989 - 5072 respectively. As Monday's Agni level is at 4986 go short if Nifty moves below it.
Thursday, September 1, 2011
Nifty closes above centre of G2(4960)
On Tuesday(30-8-11)Nifty opened at 4998 with a gain of 78 points and closed at 5001 with a gain of 81 points, above centre of G2(4960). Nifty and Nifty futures ranges were 4928 - 5016 and 4924 - 5022 respectively. As Nifty closed above centre of G2 Nifty may move to top of G2(5123). Agni level for tomorrow is at 4881.
Grahanila(planetary positions) as on 1st Sept 2011
Planetary transits during Sept 2011
Our time concept revolves around Sun, Moon, and 12 constellations. Without Sun we won't be having a day, without Moon we won't be having a Month, without constellations we won't be having a year. Verily, we won't be having a week without Sun, Moon, Mars, Mercury, Jupiter, Venus and Saturn. Our festivals like Ramzan, Vinayak Chaturti and Onam are also associated with Moon's transit in relation to Sun.
Festivals are occasions for dance and music. Thus, time and music are related. Nifty up and downs also follow time or period. One new/full moon to next new/full moon is 4 weeks and 4 x 5 = 20 weeks, 4 x10 = 40 weeks, 4 x 20 = 80 weeks etc. can be related to Nifty's ups and downs. More study is required in this direction.
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